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  #92  
Old 11-13-2017, 04:28 PM
CE80 CE80 is offline
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Originally Posted by ruechalgrin View Post
Hofstra is better than Ball State and this is a neutral court (Dayton likely would have lost to Ball State on a neutral court). Dayton is favored to win 54% of the time with a score of 73-72. Dayton is #104, Hofstra #118, and Ball State is #133 according to kenpom. Yes early in season for kenpom, but the Hofstra game is in no way shape or form a gimme.

Hofstra has a much better offense than Ball State (#75 versus #128), but a much worse defense (#219 versus #149). Dayton better up its game on defense. Rewatched the bucket with 3-4 seconds left. X got beat badly and Baby D/Josh (our senior and redshirt junior) gave zero help defense, they didn't even move -- would have thought 3 and 2 years of Archie defense coaching would have sunk it, but it clearly did not, they had their feet in concrete. Absolutely abysmal defense. If Dayton does not up its game Thursday, it will be onto the losers bracket.

5/7 Hofstra's top minutes players are juniors and seniors. They shoot the 3 well, don't turn it over, and actually are excellent offensive rebounders. This will be a tough game!
How accurate was kenpom over this first weekend?
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