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Old 11-10-2010, 10:17 PM
Fudd Fudd is offline
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Per WH on the A10 board:

http://www.basketballforum.com/atlan...t-josephs.html

ST. JOSEPH'S

The key to the Hawks' success is to get lots of production from the program's most talented crop of newcomers in years; shoot better from outside (30%, 12th in the A-10); get more inside scoring; hit the boards harder (a whopping -8.0 margin, worst in the league); and improve in every area defensively (45% FG defense, 12th in the A-10).

In short, do everything better.

The Hawks are one of the youngest teams in the league, but the good news is that Phil Martelli appears to have sharply improved the talent level. SJU fell short in so many areas last season mainly because of a overall lack of talent. That won't be the case this year, but expect lot of growing pains for the youngsters. The A-10 is much better top to bottom than it was just a few years ago. No longer can Martelli take a team with mediocre talent and coax a winning league record out of it.

Keep an eye out for combo forward Ron Roberts, though skinny big forward C.J. Aiken could be the next big star after he gains some weight. There's also lots of buzz around wing guard Langston Galloway.

SJU has a ridiculously tough schedule for such a young team, but if the newcomers are as good as their reputations, the Hawks will get much better in January and February, pull off some big upsets and look like a team to be reckoned with for the following season. Assuming, of course, that Phil Martelli has only lost his hair and not his mojo.


NONCONFERENCE SCHEDULE

W - WESTERN KENTUCKY
L - At Penn State
W - NORFOLK STATE
L - At Fairfield
W - Rutgers (Palestra)
W - At Drexel
L - At Villanova
L - At Princeton
L - MINNESOTA
L - At Creighton
W - At Boston University
W - At Holy Cross
W - SIENA
W - PENN (Palestra)


NONCONFERENCE RECORD: 8-6

This is a surprsingly tough slate for such a young team coming off a tough season. St. Joe's opens with a hard game vs. Western Kentucky, but the Hilltoppers have suffered heavy graduation losses the past two years and have lots of new faces. They will probably win 20 games, but the Hawks catch them early.

Playing at Penn State is a tough one, too. Nittany Lions fell apart last year and lost 20 games, but Penn State is deep and experienced. I expect them to bounce back this year, starting with a win over SJU. Norfolk State is decent enough but the Hawks should prevail.

Fairfield has perhaps the best player in the MAAC in Derek Needham and the Stags are favored to win their conference. The program has been on the upswing and won 20 games last season. I expect them to beat the young Hawks. Rutgers has a fine new coach in Mike Rice, a former assistant to Martelli, but the roster is depleted. SJU should win.

Drexel plays excellent defense, but Bruiser Flint's team lacks the offensive firepower to beat the Hawks. SJU needs to beat Drexel because the next four games are daunting.

Nova is a top 10 program. Princeton has a lot of experience, discipline and shooting ability. Both teams should prevail at home over the Hawks.

A veteran Minnesota team is too big and physical for the yougish Hawks. And while Creighton lost Dana Altman, new coach Greg McDermott has big success at Northern Iowa. Altman also left him a darn good roster, including Rutgers transfer Greg Echenique.

Road games at BU and Holy Cross arent a walk in the park, but both teams are somewhat down. BU lost a trio of top seniors, though the Terriers are good enough to beat the Hawks if SJU doesnt give a good effort. The Cross fell apart last year after coach Ralph Williard left and they already fired his orginal replacement.

These are must games for the Hawks after a killer stretch.

SJU finishes at home with Siena - minus coach Fran McCaffery and three key players from last year. The Saints are certain to be good again, but much more beatable than they were the last two years. And Penn still hasn't recovered from losing Fran Dunphy. SJU is simply better at every spot on the floor.

BONUS A-10 PREDICTION: 5-11 (13-17 overall)

The Hawks pair up with Massachusetts, Richmond and Temple (dropping St. Bonaventure). SJU went 0-5 vs. that trio last season. This is a tough group and I could see the Hawks going 2-4.

SJU also goes on the road at Fordham, LaSalle, St. Louis, Dayton and Charlotte. Hard to see the Hawks winning more than two, and one is more likely.
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