02-27-2019, 02:40 PM
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Brigadier General
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Chicago
Posts: 2,347
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Thanked 1,630 Times in 766 Posts
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Originally Posted by ruechalgrin
I simply do not understand the path for Dayton to get an at-large bid.
2-8 Quad 1/2 wins. Final 3 regular season games and quarterfinals in tourney are all downside, no upside in these games. If Dayton would be Davidson in the semis and lose to VCU in the finals, Dayton would be 3-9 in Quad 1/2 wins with wins being Butler neutral (bubble team), Davidson away, and Davidson natural. Just don't see these three wins getting Dayton in. Other teams on the bubble have chances for good wins the next couple of weeks, Dayton simply does not.
Only chance Dayton gets in is if Rhody and St. Bonnies basically win out and those wins become Quad 2 wins; Dayton destroys everyone left on the schedule bumping their efficiency up. This happens and Dayton ends up with a NET rating in the 40s and 5-9 in Quad 1/2 games and has a very small shot. But need to win the next 5 and lose in the finals, blow everyone out, Rhody/St. Bonnies need to do well, and everyone on the bubble needs to collapse. Only way Dayton gets in which is really not a legitimate path the an at-large bid.
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There is another way we get in: http://udpride.com/forums/showthread.php?t=30358&page=3
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