Originally Posted by ruechalgrin
I retract the Oklahoma point, but quadruple down on FL. Fair point about Oklahoma and had 25-30% chance to win with 5 minutes to go. Versus FL, Dayton had a 2-3% chance to win at halftime and never exceeded a 5% chance the 2nd half. In fact, the last 10 minutes of the game, Dayton bumped around among 1-2-3% chance to win.
Added the win probability charts below.
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Well I consider being down eight with about 2 minutes left still being in striking distance and not getting killed. But we can agree to disagree. Maybe we should just let computers determine winners of games instead of playing them on the floor. There would be a lot less injuries for players to have to deal with.