URI is close to a lock, if not already there.
SBU is the only team with the potential to play themselves into an at large.
I think there's a scenario where A10 gets 3, albeit highly unlikely. It would mean...
1) URI continuing to play well, but not win the A10 tournament. RPI forecast shows even if they lose out, their RPI will be in the 20s -- so a virtual lock at this point.
2) It would also mean SBU finishes with only 1 (maybe 2) more losses in regular season, coupled with a win this Friday against URI. Then they need 2 wins in tournament. That would put their RPI around 30 with respectable numbers (forecasting) of 2-2 vs top 25, 5-3 vs top 50 and 9-4 vs top 100 with no losses over 185.
3) If a team gets hot in A10 tourney and wins it, coupled with URI and SBU finishing strong...3 will get in. But reality is URI hasn't lost since 12/6 and SBU has won 7 straight...so who would beat them?
EDIT: I also think SBU has the Cinderella factor going for them with an at large. Jay Adams has a little Steph Curry in him, and for all those too naive to think CBS and the NCAA wouldn't want them in are wrong. Big ratings = big money. I can already see it "#11SBU - the third smallest school in all of Div 1 lead by Jay Adams, scoring 34 knocking off #6 West Virginia"
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St Bonaventure
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SAINT BONAVENTURE
Founded in 1858, St. Bonaventure University is a liberal arts college located on 500 acres in southwestern New York state. SBU offers 43 undergraduate majors, the most popular of which are elementary education, journalism, psychology, accounting, marketing, finance, and management. Total undergraduate enrollment is 2,000. Virtually all freshmen and most undergraduates live on campus. A founding member of the A10 Conference. Famous athletes include Bob Lanier. Historical nickname was the Brown Indians, but later changed to the Bonnies. Their mascot is a wolf. |
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