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  #421  
Old 01-19-2018, 11:57 AM
Hyde Park Flyer Hyde Park Flyer is online now
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Conference affiliation is the message board gift that keeps on giving. The A10 has too many high school gyms. X doesn't want us at their Big East party. We'll never get an invite from UNC, Duke, and the gang....oh, you said AAC, not ACC. What's that? I get the discussion, but it seems that we have it in a vacuum. We don't seem to really consider conference realignment forces. How do they affect UD? Which of these winds will blow behind UD's back?

1. Football. This isn't going to change in the foreseeable future. It's king, and no one is taking the crown. There is no indication that football is going to motivate conference realignment for at least 5 years. 2023 seems to be when it could occur next. Where UConn, UC, BYU, and Houston go will drive things. What happens to the AAC?

2. Money. The next round of tv negotiations will be crazy. They will be more complex as the market is affected by the reversal of net neutrality with so many people streaming games. It won't be enough that a school is in a city with a large media market. Teams will be measured by their actual following. Think of this as a minus for SLU and a plus for UD.

3. 20 game schedule. This could be a real game changer. The ideal number of conference teams becomes either 14 or 11. This should be a plus for UD if it wants to upgrade. The Big East needs to add a team (4 is not going to happen). UD is ideally situated to get an invite. If X is an immovable object, then the Big East discussion is essentially dead. The AAC currently sits at 12 teams. This is a great time for the AAC to add 2 basketball only teams. There would be 14 for basketball and 12 for football. Of course, the issue remains that the AAC suffers if 2 football schools are nabbed in the next conference realignment.

3. FBS playoff expansion. If they go to 8 teams, then It could open the door for non-p5 conferences. This could be a real wild card.

4. Who can survive. The next round of expansion will be tough on the second tier conferences in football and basketball. In football, the AAC is in the crosshairs. If the top football teams leave, what happens to the remaining schools? The domino scenarios are crazy.

5. Who is looking to expand. As much as we like to talk about conference change, are any of the conferences discussing it? This is a tough question. There doesn't seem to be much discussion about either the Big East or the AAC expanding any time soon. It's entirely possible that they wait for the next wave of football driven movement. That makes sense.

In the end, UD has limited options: stay in the A10 or move to the Big East or AAC if invited. Unfortunately, the only thing UD can overtly do is keep the success train rolling. But, it needs to be working the phones behind the scenes if it wants to improve conference alignment.
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Mad Props to Hyde Park Flyer For This Totally Excellent Post:
springborofan (02-01-2018)
 
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