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A large factor is how the Pac12, Big 10 and ACC respond in kind.
For this exercise, lets say both Texas and OU go to the SEC. Would the B10 rekindle conversations they had previously (allegedly) with UNC, Virginia and/or GTech? to get to 16. Or would they look at pick up Kansas and someone else in the B12? Academics and research money I've read dwarf that by major college football. I know Kansas is an AAU member, not sure about anyone else in the B12. The Big 10 shares all of their research information w/ each other and that is immensely valuable to each school.
Does the Pac12 try and pick up a few schools to get to 16 as well? Kansas could be attractive, not so sure about the others, especially if they were trying to expand to 16 and need 4 more schools in total.
Would Notre Dame see the writing on the wall and commit to full conference membership in either the ACC or Big 10? Would the ACC be willing to take on West Virginia along with Notre Dame to get to 16? What about UC or Memphis or anyone else from the AAC?
May not be much left of the Big 12 if/when Texas and OU depart and the dust settles elsewhere. The ACC, B12, B10, SEC and P12 as currently compromised are made up of 64 football playing schools. Throw in Notre Dame plus a few schools in the AAC that might be attractive to the ACC or B10 and that leaves somewhere around 1-3 current B12 schools that have to be wetting the bed at the moment. How comfortable do you think the ADs at Kansas St, Iowa St, Baylor, TT and TCU are sleeping right now?
Times....they are a changing.
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