Originally Posted by sheg
The Flyers right now would be favored in 12 of their 18 conference games. If they can (11 point favorite) beat Georgia Southern, go 12-6 in conference, 2-1 in the conference tournament, that's 22 wins. I don't think that's good enough.
You probably need 23 or 24 wins for an at large with Dayton's resume. That means probably a win at SLU, UMass, Davidson, VCU, URI, or Duquesne. Maybe 2 wins. And no bad losses.
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I hate to have this mindset, but I don’t think that will even be enough. When you consider the resume The Magnificent Seven had in 2014-15, and realize they were the last At-Large team to get a bid, I just don’t believe we’ll be awarded a bid unless we finish top 2 in-con, AND make it to the conference championship game. Too many 20-13 teams from P5 conferences that will be gaining steam.
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