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Old 01-09-2016, 05:13 PM
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Worst Losses in Last 15 Years for UD

Today's loss was the worst loss in the last 15 years (since kenpom started in 2002). Dayton has only lost 7 games to teams rated 200+ in 15 years and only lost 17 games to teams rated 150+ in 15 years.

#1 = Dayton at LaSalle 2016, losing to #266 (Archie)
#2 = Duquense at Dayton 2005, losing to #256 (BG)
#3 = Dayton at Richmond 2006, losing to #245 (BG)
#4 = Dayton at Duquense 2007, losing to #213 (BG)
#5 = RI at Dayton 2012, losing to #209 (Archie)
#6 = Dayton at Duquesne 2015, losing to #207 (Archie)
#7 = Dayton at Miami (OH) 2012, losing to #201 (Archie)
#8 = Dayton at RI 2013, losing to #193 (Archie)
#9 = Dayton at Umass 2011, losing to #192 (BG)
#10 = Dayton at SMU 2007, losing to #180 (BG)
#11 = Dayton at GW 2008, losing to #169 (BG)
#12 = Dayton at GW 2011, losing to #165 (BG)
#13 = Dayton at Richmond 2005, losing to #164 (BG)
#14 = USC at Dayton 2014, losing to #163 (Archie)
#15 = Dayton at St. Joe's 2010, losing to #160 (BG)
#16 = Dayton at Charlotte 2007, losing to #156 (BG)
#17 = RI at Dayton 2006, losing to #151 (BG)

Last edited by ruechalgrin; 01-09-2016 at 05:46 PM.. Reason: USC loss was Archie's not BG's
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:16 PM
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It will all be forgiven when we sweep the next two.
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:17 PM
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Not for me. This was inexcusable in my book. LaSalle is terrible.
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:21 PM
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And it felt like the worst loss too. This was your typical ranked Dayton Flyer basketball team. They go out and lay a huge egg. This was a bad LaSalle team we lost to.

It is these types of games that concern me in terms of losing Archie, not what the Title IX office does or doesn't do. We have to go play some low budget University, in some high school gym, who has a terrible RPI and we lose. This is when being in the A-10 really hurts us. I'm hoping for a day we can be in a conference that at least we don't have to watch some low budget telecast online, announced by low budget homer announcers in a HS gym.

This was a terrible loss.
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:23 PM
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Originally Posted by anthonycharles View Post
And it felt like the worst loss too. This was your typical ranked Dayton Flyer basketball team. They go out and lay a huge egg. This was a bad LaSalle team we lost to.

It is these types of games that concern me in terms of losing Archie, not what the Title IX office does or doesn't do. We have to go play some low budget University, in some high school gym, who has a terrible RPI and we lose. This is when being in the A-10 really hurts us. I'm hoping for a day we can be in a conference that at least we don't have to watch some low budget telecast online, announced by low budget homer announcers in a HS gym.

This was a terrible loss.
Not sure that day is coming any time soon
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:29 PM
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Originally Posted by anthonycharles View Post
And it felt like the worst loss too. This was your typical ranked Dayton Flyer basketball team. They go out and lay a huge egg. This was a bad LaSalle team we lost to.

It is these types of games that concern me in terms of losing Archie, not what the Title IX office does or doesn't do. We have to go play some low budget University, in some high school gym, who has a terrible RPI and we lose. This is when being in the A-10 really hurts us. I'm hoping for a day we can be in a conference that at least we don't have to watch some low budget telecast online, announced by low budget homer announcers in a HS gym.

This was a terrible loss.
And I suspect, this is why we can't get top teams to do a home and away with us. Why would anyone want to lose to a team like Dayton and then get a double whammy when the Flyers turn around and lose to the bottom feeders of the A10.
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:38 PM
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Archie drops to 39-5 versus teams 150+ during his tenure & 25 -3 versus 200+.
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:50 PM
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BTW, only 2nd time in the las 15 years Dayton has lost to a team 250+ in kenpom ...
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:50 PM
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Loss to LaSalle

proves beyond a reasonable doubt that Kendal Pollard is Dayton's leading candidate for MVP this year. The 25th ranked team in the nation lost to LaSalle without him.
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Old 01-09-2016, 05:54 PM
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We are what we are, a top 35-50 program. this season we have played exactly 2 good complete games, Alabama and UMASS, most of the rest have been a Chinese fire drill. AM is having the same problem that BG had, getting his players to play a consistent game. Overall AM is having more success, but this program for some reason can't handle being ranked, it has been that way for many years.
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Old 01-09-2016, 06:03 PM
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Both coaches refuse to change up their schemes on either offense or defense, even when a scheme is failing. Sadly, every team will be challenging the defense with dribble drives as the Flyers have proven in more than one game this year that they have no answer.
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Old 01-09-2016, 06:05 PM
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Originally Posted by Alberto Strasse View Post
proves beyond a reasonable doubt that Kendal Pollard is Dayton's leading candidate for MVP this year. The 25th ranked team in the nation lost to LaSalle without him.

...but three days ago the 25th ranked team beat UMass by 30 without him, and UMass won at LaSalle one week ago.

See, it all makes perfect sense!
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Old 01-09-2016, 06:31 PM
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Every team in the Atlantic 10 should be required to have a facility that seats at least 7500 people. They should have two years to comply.
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Old 01-09-2016, 06:53 PM
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Heard some of it. Saw very little of it. Sounds like the strategy was indefensible. When you know what the other team wants to do on offense and you let them do it, that's inexcusable. Sounds like we really had no gameplan on offense, either. Was saying to a friend after Mass tonight that this bad loss was the equivalent of 2-3 "good" losses. Now, instead of a conference record of 12-6 pre-tourney being good enough to make The Dance as an at-large, we might need to go 14-4, or to win in Brooklyn. Not the end of the world, but our worst loss by far in a long, long time.
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Old 01-09-2016, 06:55 PM
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Originally Posted by San Diego Flyer View Post
It will all be forgiven when we sweep the next two.
It better be three...at St Bona
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Old 01-09-2016, 06:56 PM
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Originally Posted by T-Bone 84 View Post
Heard some of it. Saw very little of it. Sounds like the strategy was indefensible. When you know what the other team wants to do on offense and you let them do it, that's inexcusable. Sounds like we really had no gameplan on offense, either. Was saying to a friend after Mass tonight that this bad loss was the equivalent of 2-3 "good" losses. Now, instead of a conference record of 12-6 pre-tourney being good enough to make The Dance as an at-large, we might need to go 14-4, or to win in Brooklyn. Not the end of the world, but our worst loss by far in a long, long time.
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The big problem is we have very little opportunity to have "great" wins to offset this loss. And this kind of loss probably makes the committee start looking the wins a little closer. That Miami game might look like a loss to them.
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Old 01-09-2016, 07:05 PM
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Originally Posted by Smitty10 View Post
The big problem is we have very little opportunity to have "great" wins to offset this loss. And this kind of loss probably makes the committee start looking the wins a little closer. That Miami game might look like a loss to them.
It felt like a loss to me, and I saw it "up close and personal".
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Old 01-10-2016, 12:01 PM
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The data above shows that UD averages at least one bad loss for the last 15 years. These annual bad losses have prevented UD from winning the A10 regular season and makes UD often a close bubble team instead of a lock on Selection Sunday.

Archie talks about winning A10 championships and going to the NCAA every year.

It is apparent that eliminating these bad losses is just important as those signature big wins.
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Old 01-10-2016, 01:31 PM
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Originally Posted by SeasonTicketFan View Post
The data above shows that UD averages at least one bad loss for the last 15 years. These annual bad losses have prevented UD from winning the A10 regular season and makes UD often a close bubble team instead of a lock on Selection Sunday.

Archie talks about winning A10 championships and going to the NCAA every year.

It is apparent that eliminating these bad losses is just important as those signature big wins.
SeasonTicketFan, just hate to have the really bad loss with 15 games to go in A-10 play. Leaves very little margin for error the rest of the year.
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Old 01-10-2016, 01:43 PM
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Was it?

Originally Posted by T-Bone 84 View Post
Sounds like the strategy was indefensible.
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I'm not an expert, but wouldn't have dropping into a zone when they started their offense with 10-12 seconds been a good counter? I'm sure there's at least one knowledgible person that can offer something....
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Old 01-10-2016, 05:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Jeff View Post
I'm not an expert, but wouldn't have dropping into a zone when they started their offense with 10-12 seconds been a good counter? I'm sure there's at least one knowledgible person that can offer something....
Even if it was for a every 5 possessions or so. throw the other team off
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Old 01-10-2016, 06:49 PM
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Throw in some press, some half court trap, some zone, SOMETHING to disrupt that crap they were doing. I was shocked that he didn't make any adjustments at halftime. And reinstate the 5 second call. It is ridiculous to let a guy just dribble around all day when he is being closely guarded. That certainly doesn't fit in with the NCAA's goal to speed up play and increase scoring.
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Old 01-10-2016, 07:03 PM
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We don't play zone. So we don't practice it, may not recruit players for it, do not have a strategy to deploy it. Therefore the fix has to be elsewhere. We need to stop our poorer shooters from taking low % shots. See KD. And we have to find a way to get the ball closer to the rim. Perhaps a more up tempo offense.
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Old 01-10-2016, 07:53 PM
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I heard AM say preseason UD MBB practices zone every practice ... it gives UD options ... one being .... to help Big Steve out so he stays in the game longer.
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Old 01-16-2016, 11:30 PM
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Originally Posted by San Diego Flyer View Post
It will all be forgiven when we sweep the next two.
No more LaSalle hangover. Two BIG ones at home and no mention of the LaSalle turd by Joe Lundardi after our win last night.

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Old 01-17-2016, 08:28 AM
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From a committee perspective, it is better to lose to bad teams and beat good teams than vice versa. I don't think we'll be playing a stalling team in a high school gym in the NCAA Tourney any time soon. Now if we lose more on the road against crappy teams, a trend could hurt us but if this is the only hiccup, we are fine.
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Old 01-17-2016, 10:02 AM
longtimefan longtimefan is offline
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Let's have the entire arena booing when LaSalle does that stalling crap in the return game - and loudly!
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Old 01-17-2016, 10:45 AM
CE80 CE80 is offline
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Originally Posted by longtimefan View Post
Let's have the entire arena booing when LaSalle does that stalling crap in the return game - and loudly!
How about we get a lead and keep it. Then they won't be able to stall.
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  #29  
Old 01-17-2016, 11:39 AM
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A great list, and no doubt the LaSalle loss is one of the worst in the last 15 years.

One thing that is not adjusted for is whether we were playing on the road or at home. We don't need Ken Pomeroy to tell us (as he did in a recent blog post), that beating the no. 25 team at home can be equivalent to beating a no. 75 team on the road. So by that measure (adding 50 points to the opponent's rank for a home loss and subtracting 50 points for a road loss), the 2005 loss to Duquesne would rank as our worst loss.

Also, this list doesn't consider how good the Dayton team was. There were some years in there that we were ranked 100+ in Ken Pom's rankings. So losing to no. 164 Richmond on the road in 2005 (when we finished at 113) wasn't really as bad loss in hindsight.

So, if someone could crunch the numbers (add 50 to appoints for a road loss, subtract 50 for a home loss) and then compute the difference between our opponents adjusted rank and our own, then I think we would have a more accurate list.

Lets not forget that LaSalle did receive a bump in the ranking for beating us, so they could be under 250 by the time the season is done.
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Old 01-17-2016, 12:42 PM
Glen Clark Glen Clark is offline
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Originally Posted by ruechalgrin View Post
Today's loss was the worst loss in the last 15 years (since kenpom started in 2002). Dayton has only lost 7 games to teams rated 200+ in 15 years and only lost 17 games to teams rated 150+ in 15 years . . .

While the La Salle loss may be statistically the worse loss over that time span, it is nowhere close to our worst loss. That would need a banked-in miracle three in St Louis Feb 13, 2010 - a game the Flyers lost in double overtime. That loss led to a 2-5 skid that destroyed any hope for the NCAA bid. That team won an NIT title in fine fashion, but we can only speculate what they could have done in the NCAA.

Other candidates:
Jan 7, 2007 - Jimmy Baron makes a layup with 2 seconds left to beat the Flyers 75-74 at Rhode Island. That Dayton team was 11-3 coming in, but only went 8-8 in conference - no postseason.

March 9, 2012 - the Xavier thugs punked us on the boardwalk 70-69 to send the Fylers to the NIT (but the only guy from that game that's in the NBA now was wearing a Flyer uniform).

The La Salle loss was only a blip on the radar.

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