Four. More. Wins.

[CoffeeCan]

We are at 21-5 now. As per the site below, we need to be at 25 wins to be at 99%. Right now, we are sitting pretty good at 93.4%. Given how we seem to get the shaft more than P5 teams (like the play-in game last year, for example), I would feel a lot better with 99%. Given, this is completely subjective and I am not sure how they get their percentages.

Games remaining:
Away: SLU, Richmond
Home: URI, VCU
Neutral: A10 tourney

So to get four wins we need today vs SLU and the URI game as well as the first game in the A10 tourney along with one win vs VCU at home or at Richmond.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-ba...s/bracketology

Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.2%
24 94.8%
23 76.9%
22 29.2%
21 2.5%
OVERALL 93.4%

We are also 65% likely to be seeded between a 4 and a 7. So wins will not only help ensure our ticket is punched but avoid a potential 8 or 9 seed.

Again, completely subjective and not exactly breaking news, but still interesting to see statistics like this. The 76% with just two more wins scares the hell out of me and would give enough of an opening to show us the door to the play in game. Again.

	Richmond UNIVERSITY OF RICHMOND Founded in 1830, the private liberal arts university in the Commonwealth boasts 2,800 students in 57 majors within its picturesque 350-acre campus. The Robins School of Business is one of the Top-20 business schools in the country. Nickname is the Spiders and are fellow A10 Conference members.

	Rhode Island RHODE ISLAND The University of Rhode Island was chartered as the state's agricultural school in 1888. The school became the Rhode Island College of Agriculture and Mechanic Arts in 1892. Located in southern Rhode Island, URI is a quintessential New England campus - rural in feeling yet close to the city of Providence, the state's capital. Linked to the city, the beaches, and nearly every corner of the state by both rail and public transit, the campus is easily accessible from Boston and New York URI currently offers 100 majors in seven degree-granting colleges. There are more than 12,000 students on the Kingston campus, about 3,000 in Providence, and a complement of about 700 faculty. Fellow members of the A10 Conference. Nickname is the Rams.

	Saint Louis SAINT LOUIS Saint Louis University is a Jesuit, Catholic university ranked among the top research institutions in the nation. The University fosters the intellectual and character development of more than 12,700 students. Founded in 1818, it is the oldest university west of the Mississippi and the second oldest Jesuit university in the United States. Located in St. Louis, MO, and just five minutes from the Gateway Arch, SLU offers 85 undergraduate programs and over 50 graduate study tracks. Over 99% of the SLU faculty hold the highest degree in their respective fields. Fellow member of the A10 Conference. Nickname is the Billikens, but also commonly known as "Sloo", the phonetic pronunciation of the school's initials. Athletic claims to fame include multiple national titles in men's soccer and men's basketball star Larry Hughes.

[longtimefan]

I would take 25-7 right now and head for Selection Sunday. And I think you mean Rhode Island instead of Richmond. You mention Richmond twice.

	Richmond UNIVERSITY OF RICHMOND Founded in 1830, the private liberal arts university in the Commonwealth boasts 2,800 students in 57 majors within its picturesque 350-acre campus. The Robins School of Business is one of the Top-20 business schools in the country. Nickname is the Spiders and are fellow A10 Conference members.

	Rhode Island RHODE ISLAND The University of Rhode Island was chartered as the state's agricultural school in 1888. The school became the Rhode Island College of Agriculture and Mechanic Arts in 1892. Located in southern Rhode Island, URI is a quintessential New England campus - rural in feeling yet close to the city of Providence, the state's capital. Linked to the city, the beaches, and nearly every corner of the state by both rail and public transit, the campus is easily accessible from Boston and New York URI currently offers 100 majors in seven degree-granting colleges. There are more than 12,000 students on the Kingston campus, about 3,000 in Providence, and a complement of about 700 faculty. Fellow members of the A10 Conference. Nickname is the Rams.

[Tony T 71]

Win one more game, the only one that matters: TONIGHTra y:

[San Diego Flyer]

Said in another thread I would take 4-2 before selection Sunday and run for the bank. But many others are sweating this finish also. Look how many good programs have 6 to 9 losses.

[jack72]

Look at the Top 30 RPI. In the last 12 games no one is undefeated, Nova has one loss, X and Joe's have two and all others have three or more, including UD with three.

[longtimefan]

As nervous as I am right now, and not having Pollard, I would even settle for 3-3, 24-8. We simply CANNOT have a collapse. But I would feel a lot better at 25-7 for seeding purposes. Would hate to fall to 8/9, although this season there may not be a big difference between the 1's and 2's.

[CoffeeCan]

Win Saturday and we are right on track.

[UDGutter2]

10 more wins. ;-)