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02-09-2014, 10:00 AM
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Brigadier General
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Join Date: Feb 2013
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Road to 68
With an RPI of 58 and SOS of 46 currently i think we have a better shot of dancing then we think, albeit a long one.
Gonzaga needs to stay RPI Top 25
Ole Miss and Cal needs to get/stay in the Top 50 RPI
Must wins- RI,LaS,@ Duq,Rich
Win 2 of 3- @ SLU, UMass, @ SJU
I project a 5 or 6 seed going in to the A-10 tourney at 22-9 (10-6)
We must win our Thursday and Friday game and assuming we lose Saturday it must be to VCU,SLU or UMass.
24-10 (10-6) on selection Sunday gets it done.
If, IF we handle business where we should, the whole season(Tourney hopes) boil down to the game at St. Joe's.
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02-09-2014, 10:34 AM
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Captain
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They are still in the mix. That's all we could ask for after the tough month of January.
Archie and the guys deserve a ton of credit for righting the ship.
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4 UDPriders Offer Mad Props to Crunk Juice For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-09-2014, 11:21 AM
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General of the Air Force
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Once they figured out they were not on the Titanic all they had to do was plug the **** hole.
Not sure what the issues were but glad they resolved it in time to save the season.
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02-09-2014, 11:48 AM
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Colonel
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Originally Posted by Avid Flyer
Once they figured out they were not on the Titanic all they had to do was plug the **** hole.
Not sure what the issues were but glad they resolved it in time to save the season.
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Being aggressive again , thats all it took
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02-09-2014, 11:56 AM
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General
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But, Priders, you can't overlook the damage that has been done. Those four straight losses, along with the loss at Illinois State and the debacle of USC, will haunt the Flyers the rest of the year. I commend Archie for turning things around to some degree, but the bottom falling out mid-season hangs eerily over their heads. The RPI, if it has any value at all, means little with those losses.
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Mad Props to TommyGola For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-09-2014, 12:14 PM
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General
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Thank you, Debbie Downer.
___________________
You have got to buck up, man. You cannot drag this negative energy into the tournament!
Walter Sobchak - The Big Lebowski
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2 UDPriders Offer Mad Props to Glen Clark For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-09-2014, 12:47 PM
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Major General
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Firmly entrenched in the NIT. Dayton Basketball. No way we finish 22-9. That's very hopeful thinking. 3-seed in NIT.
My prediction is 20-11 regular season. We get our traditional 8-8 finish in conference.
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02-09-2014, 01:50 PM
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Major General
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BRob2 and Crunk J have it right; despite a bad stretch in January, we're still in the hunt with our last three victories (two on the Road, whew!) Obviously, it will all boil down to how the kids finish, but there's still hope, we'll just have to see how it all pans out.
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3 UDPriders Offer Mad Props to Bat'71 For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-09-2014, 02:25 PM
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Lieutenant General
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To sort out the bubble teams the Selection Committee usually goes to who did you beat and who beat you. Check the link below. A $ is good, a ? is bad.
When the site is updated we'll get another $ for besting Bonaventure yesterday. That will mean 7 - $ and 3 ?. Great? No. But a lot better than some teams we'll be sitting on the bubble with who might have a slightly better RPI but not as many good wins.
The whole situation is fluid, obviously. If we start to swoon again we're out for sure. But five of our seven remaining games are against top 100 competition......and three are against top 50 competition. The A-10 is loaded. If we win our share in the remaining conference season we could well be dancing.
http://realtimerpi.com/rpi_110_Men.html
Last edited by bobber; 02-09-2014 at 02:28 PM..
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02-09-2014, 02:33 PM
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Jumping teams in the conference standings is a big challenge to overcome when talking the field of 68. It's not often that a team that finishes 7th gets selected when the 5th and 6th place teams do not, regardless of RPI. If we get to 6th, jumping the 5th place team isn't so hard to justify.
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2 UDPriders Offer Mad Props to MrFlyerFanatic For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-09-2014, 02:50 PM
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Join Date: Nov 2003
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Originally Posted by MrFlyerFanatic
Jumping teams in the conference standings is a big challenge to overcome when talking the field of 68. It's not often that a team that finishes 7th gets selected when the 5th and 6th place teams do not, regardless of RPI. If we get to 6th, jumping the 5th place team isn't so hard to justify.
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If that is true it makes no sense. The conference is only 1/2 of the season. why couldn't we do a little worse than another a10 team in conference but pass them up with our non-conference resume?
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Mad Props to UDEE79 For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-09-2014, 04:39 PM
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General of the Air Force
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Originally Posted by Bat'71
BRob2 and Crunk J have it right; despite a bad stretch in January, we're still in the hunt with our last three victories (two on the Road, whew!) Obviously, it will all boil down to how the kids finish, but there's still hope, we'll just have to see how it all pans out.
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Agreed, but the guys need to play each game like it's the A-10 Championship in Brooklyn. If they do that, then they stand a decent chance of winning 6 of the next 7 heading to Barclay's. Once there, if they make it to the championship game, they'd be at 24-9, which should put them on the right side of the bubble, regardless of that Sunday outcome.
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Mad Props to T-Bone 84 For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-09-2014, 05:32 PM
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Colonel
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Still a lot of basketball to be played and and I just don't see us only loosing one. I'd LOVE to see it but just don't see it...
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02-09-2014, 05:33 PM
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Brigadier General
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Originally Posted by MrFlyerFanatic
Jumping teams in the conference standings is a big challenge to overcome when talking the field of 68. It's not often that a team that finishes 7th gets selected when the 5th and 6th place teams do not, regardless of RPI. If we get to 6th, jumping the 5th place team isn't so hard to justify.
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This is not always the case. Unbalanced schedules make this unreliable.
It's about who you beat and where you beat them. I truly believe 9-7 with 1-2 wins in Brooklyn gets us in.
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02-09-2014, 07:55 PM
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2nd Lieutenant
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Flyers playing better ball. Y'all are still in this thing.
See ya 3/5 underneath the Arch.
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02-09-2014, 09:36 PM
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Captain
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It's also important to note that the Selection Committee, whether they admit to it or not, is a big fan of, "what have you done for me lately?" and they usually include a team's record in its last 10-12 games as part of the decision process. Obviously it's a long-shot and a major IF, but IF the Flyers can do what we all think they are capable of and win 6 of the last 7 games, that would make us 9-1 in our last 10 games (or 9-3 in the last 12), either way, that speaks volumes for bubble teams fighting for a spot and could give the Flyers some favorable looks.
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02-09-2014, 11:08 PM
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General
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@ St Joes might be the biggest game left
UMass doesn't look like they're playing as well they were earlier in the year and they've had to battle in their A10 Road games
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Mad Props to OSU Flyer For This Totally Excellent Post:
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02-10-2014, 07:17 PM
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2nd Lieutenant
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Originally Posted by OSU Flyer
@ St Joes might be the biggest game left
UMass doesn't look like they're playing as well they were earlier in the year and they've had to battle in their A10 Road games
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Battling in A-10 road games is par for the course.
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