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  #1  
Old 02-09-2014, 10:00 AM
BRob2Perryman3 BRob2Perryman3 is offline
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Road to 68

With an RPI of 58 and SOS of 46 currently i think we have a better shot of dancing then we think, albeit a long one.

Gonzaga needs to stay RPI Top 25
Ole Miss and Cal needs to get/stay in the Top 50 RPI

Must wins- RI,LaS,@Duq,Rich

Win 2 of 3- @SLU,UMass, @SJU

I project a 5 or 6 seed going in to the A-10 tourney at 22-9 (10-6)

We must win our Thursday and Friday game and assuming we lose Saturday it must be to VCU,SLU or UMass.

24-10 (10-6) on selection Sunday gets it done.

If, IF we handle business where we should, the whole season(Tourney hopes) boil down to the game at St. Joe's.

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  #2  
Old 02-09-2014, 10:34 AM
Crunk Juice Crunk Juice is offline
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They are still in the mix. That's all we could ask for after the tough month of January.

Archie and the guys deserve a ton of credit for righting the ship.
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  #3  
Old 02-09-2014, 11:21 AM
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Once they figured out they were not on the Titanic all they had to do was plug the **** hole.

Not sure what the issues were but glad they resolved it in time to save the season.
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Old 02-09-2014, 11:48 AM
Atlantic 10 Atlantic 10 is offline
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Originally Posted by Avid Flyer View Post
Once they figured out they were not on the Titanic all they had to do was plug the **** hole.

Not sure what the issues were but glad they resolved it in time to save the season.
Being aggressive again , thats all it took
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  #5  
Old 02-09-2014, 11:56 AM
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But, Priders, you can't overlook the damage that has been done. Those four straight losses, along with the loss at Illinois State and the debacle of USC, will haunt the Flyers the rest of the year. I commend Archie for turning things around to some degree, but the bottom falling out mid-season hangs eerily over their heads. The RPI, if it has any value at all, means little with those losses.
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  #6  
Old 02-09-2014, 12:14 PM
Glen Clark Glen Clark is offline
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Thank you, Debbie Downer.

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  #7  
Old 02-09-2014, 12:47 PM
Buster Goode Buster Goode is offline
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Firmly entrenched in the NIT. Dayton Basketball. No way we finish 22-9. That's very hopeful thinking. 3-seed in NIT.

My prediction is 20-11 regular season. We get our traditional 8-8 finish in conference.
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  #8  
Old 02-09-2014, 01:50 PM
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BRob2 and Crunk J have it right; despite a bad stretch in January, we're still in the hunt with our last three victories (two on the Road, whew!) Obviously, it will all boil down to how the kids finish, but there's still hope, we'll just have to see how it all pans out.
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  #9  
Old 02-09-2014, 02:25 PM
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To sort out the bubble teams the Selection Committee usually goes to who did you beat and who beat you. Check the link below. A $ is good, a ? is bad.

When the site is updated we'll get another $ for besting Bonaventure yesterday. That will mean 7 - $ and 3 ?. Great? No. But a lot better than some teams we'll be sitting on the bubble with who might have a slightly better RPI but not as many good wins.

The whole situation is fluid, obviously. If we start to swoon again we're out for sure. But five of our seven remaining games are against top 100 competition......and three are against top 50 competition. The A-10 is loaded. If we win our share in the remaining conference season we could well be dancing.

http://realtimerpi.com/rpi_110_Men.html

Last edited by bobber; 02-09-2014 at 02:28 PM..
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  #10  
Old 02-09-2014, 02:33 PM
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Jumping teams in the conference standings is a big challenge to overcome when talking the field of 68. It's not often that a team that finishes 7th gets selected when the 5th and 6th place teams do not, regardless of RPI. If we get to 6th, jumping the 5th place team isn't so hard to justify.
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  #11  
Old 02-09-2014, 02:50 PM
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Originally Posted by MrFlyerFanatic View Post
Jumping teams in the conference standings is a big challenge to overcome when talking the field of 68. It's not often that a team that finishes 7th gets selected when the 5th and 6th place teams do not, regardless of RPI. If we get to 6th, jumping the 5th place team isn't so hard to justify.
If that is true it makes no sense. The conference is only 1/2 of the season. why couldn't we do a little worse than another a10 team in conference but pass them up with our non-conference resume?
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  #12  
Old 02-09-2014, 04:39 PM
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Originally Posted by Bat'71 View Post
BRob2 and Crunk J have it right; despite a bad stretch in January, we're still in the hunt with our last three victories (two on the Road, whew!) Obviously, it will all boil down to how the kids finish, but there's still hope, we'll just have to see how it all pans out.
Agreed, but the guys need to play each game like it's the A-10 Championship in Brooklyn. If they do that, then they stand a decent chance of winning 6 of the next 7 heading to Barclay's. Once there, if they make it to the championship game, they'd be at 24-9, which should put them on the right side of the bubble, regardless of that Sunday outcome.
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  #13  
Old 02-09-2014, 05:32 PM
Levelbest Levelbest is offline
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Still a lot of basketball to be played and and I just don't see us only loosing one. I'd LOVE to see it but just don't see it...
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Old 02-09-2014, 05:33 PM
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Originally Posted by MrFlyerFanatic View Post
Jumping teams in the conference standings is a big challenge to overcome when talking the field of 68. It's not often that a team that finishes 7th gets selected when the 5th and 6th place teams do not, regardless of RPI. If we get to 6th, jumping the 5th place team isn't so hard to justify.

This is not always the case. Unbalanced schedules make this unreliable.

It's about who you beat and where you beat them. I truly believe 9-7 with 1-2 wins in Brooklyn gets us in.
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  #15  
Old 02-09-2014, 07:55 PM
El Shaqtus El Shaqtus is offline
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Flyers playing better ball. Y'all are still in this thing.

See ya 3/5 underneath the Arch.
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  #16  
Old 02-09-2014, 09:36 PM
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It's also important to note that the Selection Committee, whether they admit to it or not, is a big fan of, "what have you done for me lately?" and they usually include a team's record in its last 10-12 games as part of the decision process. Obviously it's a long-shot and a major IF, but IF the Flyers can do what we all think they are capable of and win 6 of the last 7 games, that would make us 9-1 in our last 10 games (or 9-3 in the last 12), either way, that speaks volumes for bubble teams fighting for a spot and could give the Flyers some favorable looks.
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Old 02-09-2014, 11:08 PM
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@ St Joes might be the biggest game left

UMass doesn't look like they're playing as well they were earlier in the year and they've had to battle in their A10 Road games
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  #18  
Old 02-10-2014, 07:17 PM
El Shaqtus El Shaqtus is offline
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Originally Posted by OSU Flyer View Post
@ St Joes might be the biggest game left

UMass doesn't look like they're playing as well they were earlier in the year and they've had to battle in their A10 Road games
Battling in A-10 road games is par for the course.
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